i'll get to who i think deserves the win when i've actually seen enough of these movies, but as of now, my predictions, with second choices in parentheses, if I think it's a close call
Best Picture - Spotlight (The Revenant)
Best Director - George Miller (Alejandro Gonzalez Inarittu); honestly this is a huge toss-up and pretty much impossible to predict
Best Actor - Leonardo DiCaprio
Best Actress - Brie Larson
Best Supporting Actor: Sylvester Stallone (Mark Rylance)
Best Supporting Actress: honestly who fucking knows, Kate Winslet????
Best Original Screenplay - Spotlight
Best Adapted Screenplay - Room
Best Cinematography - The Revenant (Mad Max: Fury Road)
Best Animated Feature Film - Inside Out; i highly doubt the other academy members would even know what any of the other movies are
Best Foreign Language Film - Son of Saul (Mustang)
Best Documentary - Feature - Amy (The Look of Silence)
Best Animated Short Film - World of Tomorrow
Best Original Score - The Hateful Eight
Best Original Song - the fact that see you again didn't get nominated disqualifies all the others from even deserving to be mentioned
Best Sound Editing - Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Sound Mixing - Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Production Design - Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Makeup and Hairstyling - Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Costume Design - Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Film Editing - Mad Max: Fury Road (The Big Short); the big short had pretty obnoxious editing, but it was very obvious editing, which gives it a chance
Best Visual Effects - Mad Max: Fury Road (Ex Machina)
to sum it up: academy members don't know shit about technical categories so they'll probably just give everything to mad max (not that im complaining), and pretty much everything is a complete tossup